Exhibit TM_MUT_63_2CA671D1 · Nepal Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC)

Climate Evaluation

Same topic, weaker claim.

Softened languageConfidence: Very likely

This target will reduce emissions from a projected BAU of 3,640 Gg CO2 eq. in 2030 to 2,619 Gg CO2 eq., which is around 28% decrease in emissions.

If the quantified targets are implemented, the total greenhouse gas emissions reduction from the Energy sector will be 8,546.41 Gg carbon dioxide eq by 2035.

The deadline for the energy sector to achieve its greenhouse gas emissions reduction goal has been pushed back from 2030 to 2035.

2020

"This target will reduce emissions from a projected BAU of 3,640 Gg CO2 eq. in 2030 to 2,619 Gg CO2 eq., which is around 28% decrease in emissions."

2025· candidate

"If the quantified targets are implemented, the total greenhouse gas emissions reduction from the Energy sector will be 8,546.41 Gg carbon dioxide eq by 2035."

2020

2025

Mutation ReasoningThe new claim shifts the temporal scope from the historical 2030 target to a 2035 target. While both address energy sector GHG reductions, the new claim cites a significantly larger absolute reduction value (8,546.41 Gg) compared to the implied reduction in the historical stance (~1,021 Gg derived from BAU 3,640 minus Target 2,619). This represents a drift in both timeframe and the scale of the reported metric, rather than a direct contradiction or simple amplification of the same specific milestone.

Intelligence Provenance Ledger

PACIA Job ID:9380dcb9-a96e-46a8-8b3f-f95903679e65Target Entity:Nepal Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC)Base Anchor:fuseki:entity:nepalCandidate Hash:urn:uuid:9380dcb9-a96e-46a8-8b3f-f95903679e65Retrieval Date:2026-07-01 (Automated pipeline)

This record maps to the agent consensus transcript and scatter-gather execution logs. Review tracing methodology.

Climate Evaluation

Uma-bot