Exhibit TM_MUT_64_52F3B13F · Nepal Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC)

Climate Evaluation

Commitment weakened or scope narrowed.

Diluted claimConfidence: Very likely

Nepal will pilot a sub-national project on REDD+ to reduce about 14 million tons of CO2-eq by 2020 by addressing the drivers of deforestation and forest degradation

The total greenhouse gas emissions reduction from the Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sector will be 1,566.49 Ggcarbon dioxideeq by 2030

The 2030 target for reducing greenhouse gas emissions from the agriculture, forestry, and land use sector has been significantly lowered from approximately 14 million tons to about 1.57 million tons.

2016

"Nepal will pilot a sub-national project on REDD+ to reduce about 14 million tons of CO2-eq by 2020 by addressing the drivers of deforestation and forest degradation"

2025· candidate

"The total greenhouse gas emissions reduction from the Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sector will be 1,566.49 Ggcarbon dioxideeq by 2030"

2016

2025

Mutation ReasoningThe new claim dilutes the historical stance by setting a total sectoral emissions reduction target (1.57 million tons by 2030) that is significantly lower than the previous target for a single pilot project (14 million tons by 2020). This represents a substantial retreat in quantitative ambition despite the broader scope.

Intelligence Provenance Ledger

PACIA Job ID:9380dcb9-a96e-46a8-8b3f-f95903679e65Target Entity:Nepal Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC)Base Anchor:fuseki:entity:nepalCandidate Hash:urn:uuid:9380dcb9-a96e-46a8-8b3f-f95903679e65Retrieval Date:2026-07-01 (Automated pipeline)

This record maps to the agent consensus transcript and scatter-gather execution logs. Review tracing methodology.

Climate Evaluation

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