Exhibit TM_MUT_85_C96AF2D2 · Nepal Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC)

Climate Evaluation

Same commitment, later deadline.

Timeline slipConfidence: Very likely

The cost of achieving the adaptation component will be detailed in the upcoming National Adaptation Plan (NAP).

For the Nationally Determined Contribution's adaptation priorities till 2035, the total cost was estimated to be in the range of USD 18 to 20 billion dollars.

Instead of simply stating that climate adaptation costs would be detailed in a future plan, the updated claim now provides a specific estimate of $18 to $20 billion through 2035.

2020

"The cost of achieving the adaptation component will be detailed in the upcoming National Adaptation Plan (NAP)."

2025· candidate

"For the Nationally Determined Contribution's adaptation priorities till 2035, the total cost was estimated to be in the range of USD 18 to 20 billion dollars."

2020

2025

Mutation ReasoningThe current claim provides a specific financial estimate for NDC adaptation priorities, whereas the historical stance merely indicated that these costs would be detailed in a future document (the NAP). This represents a drift in framing from a procedural promise to a substantive data point, without contradicting or amplifying the underlying policy goal.

Intelligence Provenance Ledger

PACIA Job ID:9380dcb9-a96e-46a8-8b3f-f95903679e65Target Entity:Nepal Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC)Base Anchor:fuseki:entity:nepalCandidate Hash:urn:uuid:9380dcb9-a96e-46a8-8b3f-f95903679e65Retrieval Date:2026-07-01 (Automated pipeline)

This record maps to the agent consensus transcript and scatter-gather execution logs. Review tracing methodology.

Climate Evaluation

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